Distress-signal intelligence · United Kingdom
Companies fail slowly, then suddenly. We read the slowly.
Foreshock is a weekly briefing that scores every UK IT services company against the public filing signals that precede insolvency — director departures, overdue accounts, last-resort charges — and hands you a ranked watchlist a quarter before the Gazette does.
The signal exists. It just isn't read.
Every limited company broadcasts its condition through the public register — filing delays, the velocity of director resignations, charges registered to non-bank lenders. Individually these are noise. Weighted together by someone who has spent [two decades] underwriting technology and life sciences risk, they become a composite score with one job: surfacing distress while there is still time to act on it.
Foreshock is built on that judgement, not on a generic algorithm. Every flagged company comes with its reasons in plain English — the line you can forward to your MD.
Inside each issue
The Watchlist
The 25 highest-scoring companies in the sector, each with score, week-on-week movement, and a one-line rationale built from the public record.
New Entrants
The five companies that crossed the threshold this week — the reason to open every issue, and the earliest moment to make contact.
The Analyst Note
150 words on what the signals are saying about the sector this week, written by an underwriter, not a dashboard.
Back-tested against the record
In back-testing against six months of UK IT-sector insolvencies, [XX]% appeared in our top-50 watchlist a full quarter before Gazette publication.
Method: [one sentence on the back-test once Day 3 is done — cohort size, period, signal set]. Full methodology available on request.
Read four issues before you decide
The pilot is simple: four weekly issues, free, no card, no call required. If the watchlist hasn't put an opportunity in front of you by issue four, delete the emails and we part as friends.
Request the 4-week pilotAfter the pilot — £XXX / month per firm · cancel any time